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Signify Premium Insight: AI Making the Move to Maturity

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Dr Sanjay Parekh, Senior Analyst

The medical imaging AI market is among the most dynamic of all the sectors in medical imaging. Its nascency, its rate of technical development and the application of the technology are combining to create a market that is changing incredibly quickly.

Despite the volatility of the market, senior analyst and author of Signify Research’s AI in Medical Imaging report, Dr Sanjay Parekh, has been able to discern several key trends in the market.

Great Growth

“The market for AI-based image analysis tools for medical imaging is set to reach $1.36bn by 2026,” Parekh states, “up from $402m in 2021.” Much of this revenue is for stand-alone AI tools, but AI-based advanced visualisation (AV) bundled AI tools are also included (accounting for 27% of the total market in 2021).

This represents a CAGR of 27% between 2020 and 2026, highlighting that the AI market is gaining momentum, many of the reasons for which are clear.

“There was for instance a large flurry of regulatory approvals in 2020 and 2021. In the US in 2020 for example, there were more approvals than in 2018 and 2019 combined. There was also the first wave of NMPA Class III approvals in China. With these regulatory approvals vendors can commercialise their tools.

“As well as having more products on the market, there has been continued progress with regards to reimbursement. There is the continued reimbursement for HeartFlow’s FFR-CT solution in the US, the UK and Japan, as well as parts of Europe. Additionally, pockets of China are already reimbursing the use of FFR-CT tools, but national reimbursement is still pending. There has also been a flurry of Category III CPT codes [for which there is no compulsory reimbursement] provisioned for quantitative image analysis tools for ultrasound, MRI and CT, which as well as encouraging the uptake of AI, could lead to reimbursement. While NTAP payments have also been renewed and expanded, such as the recent Optellum clearance, which has defied the norm and will now receive reimbursement for its Virtual Nodule Clinic solution for lung cancer despite the CPT code remaining as Category III.

“All of these factors combined will help the markets continue to grow.”

Areas of Interest

Growth will not be equal across all clinical segments, however, with four areas, which currently represent around 87% of the market, set to continue to stand out. These are cardiology, neurology, pulmonology, and breast imaging, with each having facets that mean they are likely to continue powering growth for AI vendors.

Use of AI is the most mature in the breast imaging market; however, opportunities for growth are more limited than elsewhere. “Because of the relatively limited number of use cases; namely breast nodule detections and breast density analysis, the breast imaging market will not to be as large as the other three,” continues Parekh.

“Cardiology is likely to account for the largest proportion. This will be driven by two factors. The first is increasing uptake and continued reimbursement for FFR-CT tools. Even accounting for its failed SPAC merger, HeartFlow, one of the success stories for the medical imaging AI market, has a relatively large install base and strong commercial traction as well as still offering an appealing value proposition. There are also opportunities for FFR-CT, especially in China, as vendors like Keya Medical, Shukun Technologies, and Raysight receiving regulatory approval for their FFR-CT tools.

“In addition, clinical guidelines recommending CT imaging as a first line diagnostic procedure will drive the adoption of AI.”

Stroke care is also set to rally.

Neurology will be a growth area mainly because of stroke imaging AI solutions. The NTAP code for stroke LVO, which was first issued in 2020 to Viz.ai and then renewed in 2021, was renewed again in 2022 and it looks set to be made permanent soon, thanks to the uptake of stroke imaging AI tools and the increased use of the code in such instances.

“Not only has the payment been created, but providers are using it and its use shows that providers value the end-to-end stroke solutions which benefit the entire care pathway as well as the radiologist.”

There are also other opportunities within neurology, with brain quantification tools, for example achieving moderate success. Some vendors offering such tools are generating revenue, but, while these will continue to be valued, other drivers such as the commercialisation of drugs for neurodegenerative disease are needed before they become a major driver of growth.

“Finally, in pulmonology, the relative value of using AI market is smaller compared to FFR-CT or head CT for example. Although there are vendors working on comprehensive solutions for both chest X-ray and chest CT that do restore that value, the most successful among them are setting a benchmark for other tools looking to gain traction. Further, the continued roll-out of screening programmes for lung cancer and TB, for example, will drive further traction in this market.”

Relinquishing a Point

There are commonalities across these clinical areas, however. It is becoming clear that the utility of point solutions across modalities and clinical areas is in general, very limited. Developers who can only offer single point solutions are looking increasingly unlikely to be selected by providers.

Instead, tools that offer the most value to providers will gain success. This value, however, can manifest in various ways. Many solutions focus on efficiency, but there are also solutions that could actually slow diagnoses, but still enhance the quality of a diagnosis by offering additional metrics, for example. This value is, in some cases, also no longer derived from incremental improvements in specificity or sensitivity that new tools might offer.

“If you offer 93% accuracy compared to 92%, is that going to make a difference,” Parekh asks. “Are you going to get a better diagnosis or is the patient going to be on a completely different treatment pathway? No. Instead value is extended beyond the analysis of the pixels in an image, to patient care and improvements to the clinical care pathway. The vendors that have started doing that are the ones that are going to succeed.

“Breast imaging tools, for example, that combine detection, quantification and classification of nodules, which are far more valuable than those which only offer nodule detection. Moreover, adding in breast density analysis will enhance the value proposition of such a solution even further. More significantly, however, are the tools that are looking at radiology more broadly and seen to offer value across the clinical care pathway (beyond the radiologist). These solutions can come from vendors which solely offer AI, or those which also offer capability to deploy and integrate AI.

“These vendors can bring in advanced visualisation capabilities, workflow capabilities and even structured reporting capabilities to address a given use case, while also offering their own native or third-party AI image analysis capabilities to create entire workflow packages. That is AI demonstrating value.”

Money to Money

Value is also forthcoming in a broader sense. Despite the turbulence in some tech markets and in some corners of the medical imaging market, investment for medical imaging AI vendors is still available, although it is becoming more discerning.

“Investors seem to be more than willing to continue to back vendors that have already shown progress,” opines Parekh, “but we are not seeing many Angel or Series A rounds.”

“Where we are seeing a lot of action is for the later-stage funding rounds, which are increasing in both size and number. This indicates that a set of market leaders are being established, such as the $100m funding club [a term coined by Signify Research including vendors that have received more than $100 million in total in venture capital funding]. Even with this greater investment in established companies we are starting to see evidence of a market shakeout.

“Last year we saw Nanox acquire Zebra Medical Vision, at the start of 2022 we have seen MaxQ-AI closing its radiology business, and Sirona acquiring Nines. RadNet, a large outpatient imaging group in the US also acquired two Dutch-based AI start-ups Aidence and Quantib to add to its portfolio after previously acquiring DeepHealth, and expand its push to deploy AI across screening for some of the most prevalent cancers. There is also some speculation about some other vendors also making pivots after not receiving funding that was expected. We have seen consolidation coming for a long time, but between the investment being focused on the largest vendors, and the difficulties for the smaller vendors, we are starting to see the shakeout take place.”

The impact of this market shakeout will be different in different regions. One area that is more difficult to make predictions for is Europe. Presently, the Western European market is starting to catch up with the US, but this growth is expected to stagnate in May 2024 when the new European Union Medical Device Regulation (EU MDR) is coming into force. There is currently a backlog of 12 to 18 months for vendors to upgrade their CE Mark to the incoming regulation, not to mention the more stringent requirements for this regulation. This raises the possibility of many vendors missing the deadline and therefore being unable to offer their products commercially in the EU.

Approval Ratings

This could have significant impacts, say Parekh.

“It is more likely that the larger vendors, the ones with the funds to pursue the MDR, will be the first to receive it. If you are a smaller vendor, then you may not want to, or be able to go for MDR approval. Ultimately, that will leave those that have MDR certification by May 2024 with an ‘early-to-market’ advantage over those that don’t. It could effectively level the playing field, and serve as a reset button, with only those that have been able to secure the new certification, regardless of past CE Mark approvals. This regulatory backlog is also therefore likely to hold back the market as a whole.

“It could also lead a lack of innovation, with smaller start-ups and research groups shifting their focus from radiology, keen to avoid the additional barriers they must pass, so there could also be a short-term innovation gap. This is another reason we could see more consolidation in the market.”

Despite these challenges the future is still bright for medical imaging AI vendors. The market increased by more than $60 million between 2020 and 2021, and growth is only set to continue. This shows a young market taking the first steps to maturity and a nascent technology making the first moves toward more mainstream adoption.

“Overall,” Parekh concludes, “it is growing, at a steady pace for now but with a big ramp up in the medium term, from 2024 onwards.”

“All signs are positive.”

About Signify Premium Insights

This Insight is part of your subscription to Signify Premium Insights – Medical Imaging. This content is only available to individuals with an active account for this paid-for service and is the copyright of Signify Research. Content cannot be shared or distributed to non-subscribers or other third parties without express written consent from Signify ResearchTo view other recent Premium Insights that are part of the service please click here

Signify Premium Insight: The Fate of the Five

This Insight is part of your subscription to Signify Premium Insights – Medical ImagingThis content is only available to individuals with an active account for this paid-for service and is the copyright of Signify Research. Content cannot be shared or distributed to non-subscribers or other third parties without express written consent from Signify ResearchTo view other recent Premium Insights that are part of the service please click here.

As the world emerges from the clutches of the coronavirus pandemic, the turbulence that has characterised the last few years has lingered. From supply chain headaches and shortages of critical components to the inevitable economic repercussions caused by Russia’s barbaric assault on Ukraine, stability is in short supply. While less dramatic, the medical imaging markets are also in a period of flux. Some vendors have enjoyed unexpected windfalls from Covid-related products, while others have seen sales, at times, decimated due to restrictions at providers. Furthermore, medical imaging sits on the cusp of the widespread adoption of several hugely impactful technologies, including machine learning, cloud computing and data-driven healthcare.

How vendors respond to these circumstances could define their fortunes for years to come; below is our assessment of where each of the five largest medical imaging vendors (GE Healthcare, Siemens Healthineers, Philips, Fujifilm and Canon) stand, and where their opportunities lie.

GE Healthcare

Portfolio & Portfolio Integration

From an imaging modality perspective, GE has among the broadest product portfolio of any of the top five vendors, with strength across a broad range and the ability to sell into both the wards of large academics and integrated networks, and at lower tiers and into emerging economies. Unlike some of its peers, GE has no single clinical or product sectors where it dominates, or offers products of unique quality, but as an accomplished generalist can meet the needs of a wide range of customers.

The vendor’s digital strategy, meanwhile, is less robust. While there is still the breadth of capability offered, and good coverage of the core imaging IT products, GE’s success in the integration of these separate products has been less successful. The vendor has increasingly recognised this issue, as evidenced by the release of products such as the enterprise imaging-focused Edison True PACS software, but this response has been relatively sluggish. The vendor has held a large share of the market for a long time, but that share is slowly being eroded. Whether GE can stem this customer leakage is dependent on how well it can deliver on the newer, better connected, data-driven facets of imaging IT. If it is unsuccessful, these weaknesses, which will become increasingly more important, will cause customers to look elsewhere, a concern for the division given it plans to be spun-out in 2023.

New Digital Technologies

AI is set to be among the most transformative technologies in medical imaging in the coming years, and GE is treating it as such. The vendor has taken a centralised approach to AI development, using a common team and platform (Edison AI) to efficiently deliver useful AI tools to the different modality departments. This has meant it has focused less on creating stand-alone AI products per se, but instead has been able to efficiently and effectively offer AI functionality to all of GE’s imaging modality teams, while also leveraging its strong position and channel in Advanced Visualisation software.​ The company was also early to market with a radiology AI platform, Edison Open AI Orchestrator, to support the deployment of native and third-party AI applications. ​

Another of the rising trends in medical imaging and the broader healthcare sector is the adoption of cloud capability. In this regard, GE is performing very similarly to its peers in that it is offering cloud-enabled products, but does not offer comprehensive cloud-native solutions. At present this has not hindered GE Healthcare. While technological capability is one driver for cloud adoption, business model flexibility is at present a more significant driver. As such, GE, like its peers, has, for the most part been able to meet customer needs without reverting to cloud technologies. That said, recent cloud-native releases such as Edison True PACS highlight the vendor’s cloud-focused approach, which potentially gives it the edge over some of its direct competitors.

Recent Performance

As highlighted in recent Insights assessing vendors’ financial performances, GE Healthcare has arguably been adversely affected by industry-wide challenges to a greater degree than its peers. Operationally, factors such as the supply chain disruption has been more challenging for GE compared to the likes of Siemens and Philips. GE Healthcare is also more exposed to emerging markets than several of its peers. Markets which could become more challenging as the repercussions of the Covid pandemic continue to bite.

Outlook

GE Healthcare is, all things considered, in good shape. It has competency across the board and scale to ride out the current headwinds. The vendor does have its weaknesses, it has gaps in its therapy range compared to Philips, and cannot match Siemens’ Varian-based oncology offering, for example. It must acknowledge these weaknesses and act accordingly. That could manifest as acquisitions to improve its digital integration or therapy offerings, greater focus on the central AI platforms that connect the predominantly distinct tools or recalculate supply routes and logistics strategy to minimise the impact of disruption – an area where the vendor has lost ground to its peers.

More pertinently, GE must continue to push forward with its longer-term aims, despite the day-to-day challenges that are impacting the medical imaging market. As well as needing to continue to integrate its digital offering to keep customers from bleeding away and invest in its AI and cloud products to ensure it remains a leader rather than a follower. The vendor also will need to navigate the complications of a spin off from the wider GE conglomerate and successfully integrate BK Medical, the fruit of a recent acquisition, into its fold. Managing these priorities will prove difficult, opening itself to bold gambits from competitors who see a distracted rival. But, over the long term, the fruits of this effort will render it a nimbler outfit, with capability among the broadest out there and the might to seal deals of any size whenever the opportunity presents itself.

Siemens Healthineers

Portfolio & Portfolio Integration

Compared to some of its competitors, Siemens Healthineers has some areas within its imaging portfolio which are not performing as strongly as the wider business. Its ultrasound business, for example, has a reasonably broad range of products, and reasonable market share, but has been losing ground for some years. Signify Research’s latest Ultrasound Equipment – World Market report highlights that the vendor had, in 2020, actually lost market share in its key radiology/general imaging and cardiology markets.

Despite this, however, Siemens has both a wide-ranging portfolio and is amongst the pinnacle of the market when it comes to the advanced imaging modalities. As well as driving forward with new technologies, having been the first to commercially offer a photo-counting CT system, the vendor is also adept at innovating further down product line ups to create and capture market share, with its recently MAGNETOM Free.Star designed to bring MRI capability to new locations.

This modality focus has, however, meant that its core imaging IT software has been slow to meet the clear trend of enterprise imaging consolidation . This has been apparent in several regions, with North America a particularly challenging market for the German vendor. More recently, however, Siemens seems to have identified and acknowledged this weakness, and has delivered several products which not only bolster the vendor’s capability (it holds strong global share in Advanced Visualisation) but brings it together into a more integrated offering. This has been effective in multiple areas, but progress in workflow and operational efficiency, have been particularly well-received.

New Digital Technologies

Siemens Healthineers sits alongside GE as one of the vendors with the most advanced native AI offering. Unlike GE however, Siemens has taken a different approach, focusing first on the common frameworks, such as AI Rad Companion, into which further capability will be able to grow. This more integrated approach contrasts with other vendors which, for the most part, have adopted a platform plus marketplace strategy. Siemens has more closely integrated its algorithms into its broader platforms, which, for the large imaging vendors such as Siemens, appears at present to be the strategy which is delivering the most promising results.

Despite Siemens’ strategic differentiation when it comes to AI, the market is not yet mature enough for this approach to have a significant impact on sales. However, as AI use becomes more integral to medical imaging workflows, Siemens’ strategy could pay dividends.

Recent Performance

Siemens Healthineers has arguably been the strongest performer over the past year. While it has, like other vendors been affected by supply chain issues and chip shortages leading to the sacrifice of some margin in its latest quarter, it has also managed to maintain revenues and growth.

Additionally, Siemens Healthineers has also been among the vendors that have been keenest to create and nurture managed partnerships. Such partnerships have allowed Siemens to both protect market share and increase the portion of revenues which are taken on a recurring basis. In doing so, Siemens is favourably positioned to weather difficult conditions.

Further, while not directly related to imaging, Siemens Healthineers has also benefitted from what is effectively a Covid windfall, with its antigen testing bringing a one-off cash boost to the vendor and lining its coffers in readiness for offensive or defensive action.

Outlook

Siemens Healthineers is going into 2022 in the best shape of any of the leading medical imaging vendors, with a slight reduction in margin the only real indicator of difficult times. Siemens also has some aces up its sleeve for the future. As time passes the vendor’s acquisition of Varian is increasingly proving its worth. With ever-increasing requirement for cancer care and Siemens’ ability to join up the diagnostic and therapeutic sides of oncology this advance is set to continue ever more effectively. This clinical integration also puts Siemens in a unique position, with no other vendor yet managing to join diagnostic imaging and therapy in quite the same way.

With its windfall from antigen tests, Siemens Healthineers is also in a strong position to make additional acquisitions. As has been achieved with Varian and to a lesser extent Medicalis, Siemens could look to bolster its offering with another sizable acquisition, further broadening the capability it can offer customers.

There are challenges; development of its digital offering and the march towards a more complete enterprise imaging solution needs to be a priority, but otherwise, Siemens Healthineers is looking strong.

Philips

Portfolio & Portfolio Integration

Philips has a full portfolio across the modalities, with everything from handheld ultrasound to MRI available from the vendor. The only significant concession it does make to any of its peers is in photon-counting CT. Philips does offer spectral CT, a tool of a similarly premium status, but at present it doesn’t yet offer commercially an alternative to Siemens’ latest innovation. The photon-counting CT market is still very small, so Philips is unlikely to miss out in the immediate future, but it will become more significant, highlighting the importance of Philips successfully commercialising its own photon-counting CT technology. For some categories, such as mammography, Philips has essentially relied on partnerships to fill its range, but for any gaps in an MRI or CT line-up, such a strategy would not fly with customers.

Unlike some of its peers such as GE Healthcare and Fujifilm, which are more generalist in their approach, Philips has worked to offer excellence in several key areas including cardiology and interventional imaging, while still offering a broad portfolio in other areas. These are set to be growth drivers over coming years, so the vendor is well placed in that regard.

Things are less rosy on the software side. While it has all the important pieces, and strength in some key areas such as operational workflow, the integration of disparate parts is proving difficult. This appears to be particularly true with regards to its Carestream acquisition. While the acquisition brought improved technology to Philips, the integration has taken longer than originally anticipated, suggesting that some expectations for the technology have been either been unmet or were more complex to architect than expected. While it seems Philips is emerging out of the other side of this process based on recent product announcements, whether customers have kept the faith will only become apparent in the next few years.

New Digital Technologies

Unlike Siemens Healthineers and GE Healthcare, which have primarily focused on developing AI tools in-house, Philips has instead chosen to partner with medical imaging AI vendors. Even on this front, however, they are somewhat behind their chief competitors, with their AI Orchestrator platform only being released at RSNA 2021. This measured schedule has at least resulted in well-executed products, somewhat making up for the slower schedule.

One of the reasons for this sluggishness is that Philips has chosen to rebuild its entire software offering. Longer-term this will arguably pay dividends, as the vendor’s entire software catalogue can be architected from the ground-up, as a broad, cloud-native enterprise imaging solution with solid AI integration. However, this is still some years off, leaving Philips in a sort of holding pattern until then, doing enough to avoid losing market share to hungry specialists, but not yet unleashing its solution’s final form. Ultimately, Philips has started to lay a lot of groundwork, but the fruits of that labour are yet to be realised.

Recent Performance

As detailed in Signify’s recent analysis of vendor’s latest financial results, Philips seems to be prioritising margin over the conversion of orders to sales. The vendor says it hasn’t yet lost a customer through such an approach, but this could become more difficult over time if supply chains cannot be restored, and providers are forced into long waits for their equipment. For the time being, however, Philips’ medical imaging business is performing strongly.

There are distractions elsewhere in the business. The recall of certain Philips’ ventilators (DreamStation and specific Trilogy solutions) may not immediately impact the company’s imaging business, but ventilator revenues were another of those unexpected Covid windfalls which could have left Philips ready for a large opportunistic acquisition. The recall of the ventilators could therefore limit the vendor’s ability to capitalise on potential opportunities near-term.

Outlook

Philips has strength in its admirably broad portfolio. What’s more, several areas in which it is strongest such as interventional and cardiac imaging are set for above industry average growth. Further, while it may not have made any headline grabbing acquisitions in the therapeutic space on the scale of Siemens’ Varian move, it has made several smaller “tuck in” acquisitions of therapy device companies over recent years, as well as some very solid partnerships such as that with Varian rival Elekta, which have left it in a strong position moving forward.

However, it must, as efficiently as possible, fully complete the integration of Carestream. Upon which it can not only increasingly leverage the capability it gained from the acquisition, but, as significantly for the longer term, then begin to focus on its next targets. Rounding out its AI offering and re-building its core products to capitalise on the new trends of cloud capability and enterprise imaging.

Canon

Portfolio and Portfolio Integration

Canon’s combination with Toshiba Medical Systems, a deal which was completed in early 2018, has bolstered the Japanese vendor’s modality offering, with the deal bringing together two largely complementary product portfolios. With regards to the advanced modalities, the vendor arguably lags behind Siemens and Philips, lacking the very top draw innovative products that those vendors lead in. Similarly to Philips, Canon does have its strengths, with cardiac imaging capability, acquired from Toshiba, an area where the vendor stands out.

One modality in which Canon does see growth is in ultrasound. While the vendor is well represented in its domestic market, the company has recently become more aggressive on price in order to further penetrate the North American and European markets. Many vendors have comparable products in ultrasound, so price is one of the few levers Canon has at its disposal. Success will be hard to come by in this market, with there being limited differentiation between it and its immediate competitors, but if it is to enjoy the longer-term service revenues that increased footprint brings, it is a critical objective.

Canon’s digital offering is also relatively strong in places. The vendor has been trying to build on its prowess in advanced visualisation and broaden its offering into a fully-fledged enterprise imaging product. However, these efforts have not yet gained significant traction in the market, leaving the vendor with a competent core package, but without a sizable market share. Of bigger concern is the lack of operational tools, a component which is becoming increasingly important to securing larger, higher-value deals.

New Digital Technologies

While Canon offers a competent core platform, it is starting to fall behind when it comes to newer digital technologies. It hasn’t made the same progress with AI development as the standouts GE and Siemens, and lacks many of the tools those vendors offer, although is making headway with workflow tools. Across imaging IT however, the firm holds the smallest global share for imaging informatics of the “five” reviewed here. Canon has started to further address these gaps, however, responding with a new brand and AI strategy in November 2021. The Japanese firm hopes its new Altivity brand will improve efficiency and outcomes, with tools based on both clinical decision making and workflow, although the fruits of this labour are yet to be seen.

When it comes to cloud, Canon, like its peers has made progress. It is not at the same leading edge as the nimbler imaging IT specialists but will facilitate its customers’ transition to cloud should they request it.

Recent Performance

Over recent quarters Canon has performed strongly. As illustrated in Signify Research’s recent financials analysis both the vendors’ latest quarter and in particular its trailing 12 months showed solid growth. Canon is strongest in its home market of Japan, and as such will have been among the key beneficiaries of Japan’s Covid recovery spending, given its strength in modalities used in Covid care, and more internally focused procurement policies.

While this boost will end as extra funding to fight the pandemic runs out, and providers have all the systems they need, the growth in Canon’s installed base will grant the vendor opportunities for service revenue and upselling opportunities for years to come.

Outlook

Canon is performing strongly in its domestic market, it has a broad, reasonably-well integrated portfolio, with competence across most modalities and core software components, and a few areas of excellence. The vendor has also performed strongly setting it up for reasonable domestic revenue growth in the coming years.

However, despite this strength the vendor finds itself in a sort of stasis. There is limited opportunity for growth at home, which means the vendor needs to look further afield, but without a unique selling point it could struggle to gain traction. Without an area in which it is the hands down leader or can quickly grow its enterprise imaging platform share, it is hard to see what is going to entice North American and European providers to go with the Japanese vendor instead of one of the better-established alternatives.

Fujifilm

Portfolio and Portfolio Integration

Like Canon, Fujifilm has recently closed a major portfolio acquisition of Hitachi’s diagnostic imaging group. This has bolstered its portfolio bringing Hitachi’s capabilities in MRI, CT and diagnostic ultrasound alongside Fujifilm’s range of X-ray and point of care ultrasound systems. The combination leaves a large vendor with a breadth of portfolio that will enable it to compete for the larger network-wide imaging deals that are increasingly defining the market. However, this joined-up approach is yet to be fully leveraged, leaving Fujifilm with what is effectively several disparate product sets.

As with GE, Fujifilm leans toward being a more generalist, and although there are some smaller niches in which it excels, such as mobile X-ray, it doesn’t stand out in any single category, offering a safe, rather than revolutionary option for providers. Fujifilm is however aggressive on price, allowing providers to amass capability for a competitive outlay. Other vendors, such as Siemens Healthineers, are also releasing lower-cost MRI systems. While this will increase competition for Fujifilm and threaten the legacy Hitachi MRI portfolio, it will also increase the interest in MRI in non-traditional settings, a dynamic which Fujifilm could arguably use to its advantage.

This hardware portfolio is also backed up by a solid core imaging IT package, while the vendor has made good headway in its transition to enterprise imaging. As with its competitors, it has lost out to the likes of Sectra, Mach7 and Visage for large academics and IDNs in the US market of late, but this has not yet been a significant issue to seriously erode market share. Moreover, the firm has a dominant position in the Japanese domestic market for imaging informatics.

New Digital Technology

Fujifilm has invested in its AI offering, and it shows. Its ReiLI brand is competent and represents the vendor’s effort to enhance its diagnostic imaging products, with a particular focus on supporting the diagnostic imaging workflow, leveraging the combination of its deep learning innovations and utilising its expertise in image processing. Like Siemens, Fujifilm has also adopted a more integrated approach to AI, choosing to develop algorithms in-house on an integrated framework, rather than overly relying on external partners and AI marketplaces as has been the choice of some of its competitors. Over the longer term, this will likely prove a smart choice. Where Fujifilm falls down, however, is in execution. These foundations have been laid for some time, but there has, so far, been a lack of progress to highlight that Fujifilm is realising its vision.

Recent Performance

Fujifilm’s recent performance is difficult to accurately ascertain, with the acquisition of Hitachi’s imaging business and the restructuring of its business units making it hard to contextualise its filings. That said, the vendors’ strength in mobile X-ray systems and ultrasound systems will have stood it in good stead over the course of the Covid pandemic. This performance, will, like Canon, also have been bolstered by the substantial government support given in the vendor’s largest market, its home market of Japan. Further aiding Fujifilm over the pandemic is the vendors’ aggressive pricing, making it an attractive proposition for providers who have reined in budgets because of the coronavirus pandemic.

Outlook

Whether Fujifilm can continue to capitalise on these recent advantages remains to be seen. As with its peers, any additional sales during the pandemic leave Fujifilm with solid up-selling and servicing opportunities which could help to bolster growth.

More broadly, if Fujifilm is set to achieve the ambitious growth targets it laid out in its VISION2023 plan, released in April 2021, it must look to utilise its newly found breadth of offering to secure the larger, longer-term deals that its most successful competitor’s relish. It does, on the face of it, appear to be making substantial progress. In its strategy announcement it targeted revenues of 750bn Yen ($6.5bn) for its healthcare segment in FY2021. After three quarters the vendor is now offering guidance of 790bn Yen ($6.9bn) for the year, well on its way to the 860bn Yen target it has set itself for FY2023.

As with Canon, for continued growth Fujifilm must look for opportunities outside of its home market. Unlike Canon, however, which has made plain its designs on the US market, Fujifilm may look to carve out its own territory in emerging markets. With a strong network of distributors and subsidiaries, Fujifilm’s competence and price competitiveness could see it replicate the large managed service deals that Siemens Healthineers, GE Healthcare and Philips have prioritised in other markets, including India, parts of the Middle East and South-East Asia.

About Signify Premium Insights

This Insight is part of your subscription to Signify Premium Insights – Medical Imaging. This content is only available to individuals with an active account for this paid-for service and is the copyright of Signify Research. Content cannot be shared or distributed to non-subscribers or other third parties without express written consent from Signify ResearchTo view other recent Premium Insights that are part of the service please click here